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Vote 2012: Is Iowa Still a Swing State?By Mark Carlson, Reporter
IOWA CITY, Iowa - The new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll gives President Barack Obama an edge over Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, but at least one political analyst says the race is still too close to call.
"It's close and continues to be close statewide," said Bruce Nesmith of Coe College in Cedar Rapids. "And at this point the clock is running down." The poll, released this weekend, gives Obama a 49 to 45 percent lead over Romney. Nesmith said it's a good indication that the state is leaning slightly for Obama, but there is still plenty of time for Romney to catch him. "You get no points for leading in a poll, the only one that counts is the one on election day, so all these are are snap shots, best guesses as to the state of play right now," he said. "Certainly (polls) aren't determinative especially when they're this close." The data also suggests that Iowa will remain a swing state until election day, meaning more advertisements and visits. Paul Ryan, GOP vice presidential nominee, will be in Dubuque on Monday. Vice President Joe Biden will also be stopping in Iowa this week, but full details about his visit have not been released by the Obama campaign. The poll also found that just two percent of those surveyed remain undecided. Ten percent of the sample size say they could still change their mind on who to support come November 6th. |
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