KCRG-TV9 Iowa Poll Results - November 2007

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KCRG-TV9 Iowa Poll Results - November 2007

By Becky Ogann

(see poll details)

 

 

 

 

DEMOCRATIC SECTION ONLY (400 DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS VOTERS)


QUESTION: If the 2008 Democratic Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED): 
                                                         ALL            MEN            WOMEN

 
Hillary Clinton                                     27%             22%                 32%

Barack Obama                                    25%              23%                 27%

John Edwards                                     21%             23%                 19%

Bill Richardson                                    10%             15%                   5%

Joe Biden                                            4%               4%                   4%

Chris Dodd                                          1%              1%                    1%

Dennis Kucinich                                    1%               1%                   1%

Mike Gravel                                          -                   -                       -

Undecided (NOT READ)                        11%             11%                  11%

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REPUBLICAN SECTION ONLY (400 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS VOTERS)

QUESTION: If the 2008 Republican Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):

                                                         ALL             MEN           WOMEN

Mitt Romney                                        27%              31%                23%

Mike Huckabee                                    18%              15%                 21%

Rudy Giuliani                                       16%              13%                 19%

Fred Thompson                                   10%              15%                   5%

John McCain                                        6%              10%                   2%

Ron Paul                                             5%                4%                   6%

Tom Tancredo                                     2%                3%                   1%

Duncan Hunter                                    1%                1%                    1%

Undecided (NOT READ)                        15%                8%                  22%


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POLL TRENDS:

QUESTION: If the 2008 Democratic Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):

                                                     NOV 07      JULY 07      MAY 07        DEC 06

Hillary Clinton                                    27%           22%             28%               10%

Barack Obama                                   25%           16%              22%               22%

John Edwards                                    21%           27%             26%                22%

Bill Richardson                                   10%           11%               7%                  1%

Joe Biden                                           4%             3%               2%                  1%

Chris Dodd                                         1%            2%                2%                  -

Dennis Kucinich                                  1%             2%               2%                  4%

Mike Gravel                                        -                1%                1%                  -

Undecided (NOT READ)                       11%           16%             10%                11% 

 


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 REPUBLICAN SECTION ONLY (400 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS VOTERS)

 

 QUESTION: If the 2008 Republican Caucus for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? (ROTATED):

 

 
                                                        NOV 07      JULY 07     MAY 07     DEC 06

 

 Mitt Romney                                     27%             25%            16%              9%

Mike Huckabee                                 18%               2%              2%              -

Rudy Giuliani                                    16%            13%             17%            26%

Fred Thompson                                 10%            14%               9%              -

John McCain                                       6%            10%             18%            27%

Ron Paul                                              5%              1%               -                  -

Tom Tancredo                                     2%              2%               3%              -

Duncan Hunter                                    1%              1%               1%              -

Undecided (NOT READ)                 15%             22%             22%            22%

 

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ALL VOTERS:

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

                                          CLINTON           ROMNEY          UNDECIDED


NOVEMBER 2007                    50%                    39%                     11%

JULY 2007                            42%                    34%                      24%


QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                         CLINTON             GIULIANI          UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                   48%                       40%                       12%

JULY 2007                           41%                      37%                        22% 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                         CLINTON          HUCKABEE       UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                   49%                    40%                     11%

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

 

                                         CLINTON           MCCAIN          UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                      46%                     38%                     16%

JULY 2007                              42%                    36%                      22%

 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Fred Thompson, the Republican?

                                          CLINTON           THOMPSON        UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                   50%                       37%                       13%

JULY 2007                           41%                      31%                        28%


QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

                                          OBAMA           ROMNEY           UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                  51%                       38%                   11%

JULY 2007                           44%                      34%                    22% 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                         OBAMA           GIULIANI           UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                  49%                    39%                       12%

JULY 2007                           45%                   36%                        19%

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                            OBAMA          HUCKABEE       UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                     50%                    39%                     11%

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

                                       OBAMA              MCCAIN           UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                    47%                      37%                    16%

JULY 2007                            44%                     36%                     20%

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Fred Thompson, the Republican?

                                          OBAMA           THOMPSON         UNDECIDED


NOVEMBER 2007                  51%                       36%                       13%

JULY 2007                          43%                      29%                        28% 

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?


                                          EDWARDS           ROMNEY           UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                      50%                       38%                       12%

JULY 2007                              45%                      34%                        21%

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS           GIULIANI           UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                       49%                       40%                       11%

JULY 2007                                43%                      36%                        21%                                         

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS         HUCKABEE       UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                     50%                    40%                     10%

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican?

                                       EDWARDS           MCCAIN          UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                       47%                        38%                   15%

JULY 2007                               43%                       36%                    21%                                              

QUESTION: If the 2008 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the choice were between John Edwards, the Democrat, and Fred Thompson, the Republican?

                                          EDWARDS           THOMPSON         UNDECIDED

NOVEMBER 2007                     51%                       36%                       13%

JULY 2007                             45%                      28%                        27%

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BUSH JOB PERFORMANCE:

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as  President?

                                        APPROVE       DISAPPROVE        NOT SURE

ALL                                    26%                     72%                          2%

MEN                                   30%                     68%                          2%        

WOMEN                              22%                     76%                          2%

DEMOCRATS                         4%                     94%                          2%

REPUBLICANS                      55%                     43%                          2%

INDEPENDENTS                    22%                     76%                         2%

IRAQ:

QUESTION: All in all, do you think going to war against Iraq for regime change was worth it, or not?

                                              YES             NO           NOT SURE

ALL                                        26%            69%                 5%

DEMOCRATS                              4%            92%                 4%

REPUBLICANS                          59%            33%                  8%

INDEPENDENTS                        19%             78%                 3%


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IMPEACHMENT:

QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose Congress beginning impeachment proceedings against President Bush?

                                                   FAVOR               OPPOSE                     NOT SURE

NOVEMBER 2007                             47%                     43%                                10%

JULY 2007                                     45%                     46%                                  9%

 

QUESTION: Would you favor or oppose Congress beginning impeachment proceedings against Vice President Cheney?

                                                   FAVOR               OPPOSE                     NOT SURE

NOVEMBER 2007                             58%                     39%                                  3% 

JULY 2007                                     54%                     40%                                  6%

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CULVER JOB PERFORMANCE:

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chet Culver has done as so far as Governor?

                                       APPROVE       DISAPPROVE        NOT SURE

ALL                                   55%                    40%                        5%

MEN                                  52%                     44%                        4%

WOMEN                             58%                     36%                        6%

DEMOCRATS                       74%                     19%                        7%

REPUBLICANS                     34%                     63%                        3%

INDEPENDENTS                   56%                     39%                        5%

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The Research 2000 Iowa Poll was conducted from November 12 through November 14, 2007. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

NOTE: There was an over sample conducted among both Democratic and Republican caucus voters totaling 400 respondents each. The margin for error among each sample is 5%.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men                             288         (48%)               

Women                       312          (52%)

Democrats                  194          (32%)    

Republicans                180          (30%)     

Independents/Other    226          (38%)

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