Keep an eye on the Gulf

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CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG-TV9) -- The Atlantic hurricane season officially started back on June 1st, and has been very uneventful so far. However, it’s time to start watching the Gulf of Mexico for some possible activity.

This image is a blend of model data that is suggesting a decent probability of deep tropical moisture to occur over the northeast Gulf of Mexico sometime early next week. When something like this starts showing up in the data, it’s an indication that the model is seeing something that could potentially become tropical in that area. There are some loosely organized thunderstorms in the Caribbean, so the model is seeing that correctly.

You may not think tropical weather is too important being up here in Iowa, but it does matter. If a tropical system were to hit Texas, some of that moisture could be pulled north. On the flipside, if a tropical system were to hit the northeast Gulf and go north from there, it tends to keep us a bit drier.